Mainz 05 - Paderborn Betting Odds | Bundesliga

29/08/2026 13:30

Mainz 05 - Paderborn Overview

1. FSV Mainz 05 welcome newly promoted SC Paderborn 07 to the MEWA ARENA for the opening matchday of the Bundesliga campaign. After securing a mid-table finish last season alongside European football commitments, the hosts look to establish early rhythm on home soil. Meanwhile, Paderborn return to the top flight under head coach Ralf Kettemann following a dramatic promotion play-off victory, aiming to prove their top-flight credentials right from the start.

What is the prediction for Mainz 05 vs Paderborn?

The LiveBet model rates Mainz 05 a 55% chance of victory against Paderborn, with the draw at 25% and a Paderborn win at 20%. That makes a Mainz win the model's most likely outcome as the hosts kick off their league campaign at MEWA ARENA.

Form Guide

Mainz 05 wrapped up their previous Bundesliga campaign with mixed momentum, highlighted by a 2-0 victory over 1. FC Heidenheim on the final day, which followed a 3-1 defeat to Union Berlin and a 2-2 draw with Bayern Munich. Bo Henriksen's side displayed consistent attacking output during their summer preparations, including a 4-0 triumph against Paris FC and a 3-3 draw with Udinese. SC Paderborn 07 earned top-tier promotion after an intense finish to their campaign, sealing their return with a 2-1 play-off aggregate win over VfL Wolfsburg following a 1-1 first-leg draw. The visitors carried that resolve into preseason friendlies, recording a 2-2 draw against SV Werder Bremen.

Head-to-Head

Historical encounters heavily favour the hosts, with Mainz 05 undefeated in their four previous Bundesliga meetings against SC Paderborn 07. Their most recent clash at the MEWA ARENA resulted in a 2-0 win for Mainz, following a 2-1 victory in Paderborn earlier that season. Paderborn's only point against the 05ers in top-flight action came via an entertaining 2-2 draw, leaving the visitors still searching for their first Bundesliga win over Mainz.

Tactical Angle

Mainz rely on aggressive, high-pressing transitions and width from their wing-backs to stretch opposing backlines and supply dangerous deliveries into the penalty area. Paderborn under Ralf Kettemann favour a fluid, fast-paced counter-attacking structure, relying on transitional speed through midfield to test high defensive lines. For the visitors, surviving Mainz's early physical pressure in midfield and maintaining structural discipline when defending wide set pieces will be critical if they are to disrupt the hosts' tempo.

Market View

Mainz 05 enter as clear favourites, reflecting their established top-flight pedigree, home advantage, and unbeaten head-to-head record against the visitors. Paderborn face the traditional step up in quality encountered by newly promoted sides on opening day, though their spirited play-off success keeps the contest live. An open, high-scoring contest is expected, with both teams likely to find scoring opportunities as opening-day intensity takes hold.

Mainz 05 - Paderborn Odds

1x2

Mainz 05 1

1.71

X X

3.80

Paderborn 2

4.50

Total

Over 2.5 Over 2.5

1.65

Under 2.5 Under 2.5

2.17

First goal

Mainz 05 1

1.53

None None

14.00

Paderborn 2

2.60

Double chance

Mainz 05 or draw 1 or draw

1.20

Mainz 05 or Paderborn 1 or 2

1.25

Draw or Paderborn X or 2

1.96

Both Teams To Score

Yes Yes

1.65

No No

2.17

Draw no bet

Mainz 05 1

1.30

Paderborn 2

3.30

Handicap

Mainz 05 (+0.5) 1 (+0.5)

1.20

Paderborn (-0.5) 2 (-0.5)

4.20

Mainz 05 (-0.5) 1 (-0.5)

1.67

Paderborn (+0.5) 2 (+0.5)

2.10

Mainz 05 (-1.5) 1 (-1.5)

2.75

Paderborn (+1.5) 2 (+1.5)

1.40

Mainz 05 (-2.5) 1 (-2.5)

5.00

Paderborn (+2.5) 2 (+2.5)

1.14

Handicap 1x2

Mainz 05 (2:0) 1 (2:0)

1.04

Draw (2:0) X (2:0)

10.00

Paderborn (2:0) 2 (2:0)

21.00

Mainz 05 (1:0) 1 (1:0)

1.18

Draw (1:0) X (1:0)

5.75

Paderborn (1:0) 2 (1:0)

11.00

Mainz 05 (0:1) 1 (0:1)

2.71

Draw (0:1) X (0:1)

3.80

Paderborn (0:1) 2 (0:1)

2.08

Mainz 05 (0:2) 1 (0:2)

5.33

Draw (0:2) X (0:2)

5.00

Paderborn (0:2) 2 (0:2)

1.38

Mainz 05 (0:3) 1 (0:3)

12.00

Draw (0:3) X (0:3)

7.00

Paderborn (0:3) 2 (0:3)

1.13

Last goal

Mainz 05 1

1.50

None None

17.00

Paderborn 2

2.60

Correct score

1:0 1:0

8.50

0:0 0:0

14.00

0:1 0:1

15.00

2:0 2:0

9.00

1:1 1:1

7.00

0:2 0:2

31.00

2:1 2:1

8.00

2:2 2:2

14.00

1:2 1:2

15.00

3:0 3:0

13.00

3:3 3:3

61.00

0:3 0:3

81.00

3:1 3:1

13.00

4:4 4:4

251.00

1:3 1:3

41.00

3:2 3:2

26.00

Other Other

16.00

2:3 2:3

41.00

4:0 4:0

26.00

0:4 0:4

251.00

4:1 4:1

26.00

1:4 1:4

151.00

Correct score XL

5:0 5:0

51.00

5:5 5:5

251.00

0:5 0:5

251.00

5:1 5:1

46.00

1:5 1:5

251.00

5:2 5:2

91.00

2:5 2:5

251.00

5:3 5:3

251.00

3:5 3:5

251.00

5:4 5:4

251.00

4:5 4:5

251.00

6:0 6:0

151.00

0:6 0:6

251.00

6:1 6:1

151.00

1:6 1:6

251.00

6:2 6:2

251.00

2:6 2:6

251.00

6:3 6:3

251.00

3:6 3:6

251.00

6:4 6:4

251.00

4:6 4:6

251.00

6:5 6:5

251.00

5:6 5:6

251.00

7:0 7:0

251.00

0:7 0:7

251.00

7:1 7:1

251.00

1:7 1:7

251.00

7:2 7:2

251.00

2:7 2:7

251.00

7:3 7:3

251.00

3:7 3:7

251.00

7:4 7:4

251.00

4:7 4:7

251.00

Halftime/fulltime

Mainz 05/Mainz 05 1/1

2.38

Mainz 05/X 1/X

17.00

Mainz 05/Paderborn 1/2

51.00

X/Mainz 05 X/1

4.75

Draw/Draw X/X

6.33

X/Paderborn X/2

10.00

Paderborn/Mainz 05 2/1

26.00

Paderborn/X 2/X

17.00

Paderborn/Paderborn 2/2

7.00

Halftime/fulltime correct score

1:0 1:0 1:0 1:0

15.00

0:0 0:0 0:0 0:0

13.00

0:1 0:1 0:1 0:1

26.00

1:0 1:1 1:0 1:1

26.00

0:0 1:0 0:0 1:0

13.00

0:1 0:2 0:1 0:2

46.00

1:0 2:0 1:0 2:0

15.00

0:0 1:1 0:0 1:1

21.00

0:1 0:3 0:1 0:3

151.00

1:0 2:1 1:0 2:1

26.00

0:0 0:1 0:0 0:1

21.00

0:1 1:1 0:1 1:1

26.00

1:0 3:0 1:0 3:0

26.00

0:0 2:0 0:0 2:0

26.00

0:1 1:2 0:1 1:2

41.00

1:0 1:2 1:0 1:2

91.00

0:0 2:1 0:0 2:1

41.00

0:1 2:1 0:1 2:1

51.00

1:0 4+ 1:0 4+

13.00

0:0 0:2 0:0 0:2

71.00

0:1 4+ 0:1 4+

26.00

2:0 2:0 2:0 2:0

36.00

0:0 1:2 0:0 1:2

71.00

0:2 0:2 0:2 0:2

101.00

2:0 2:1 2:0 2:1

61.00

0:0 3:0 0:0 3:0

71.00

0:2 0:3 0:2 0:3

201.00

2:0 3:0 2:0 3:0

36.00

0:0 0:3 0:0 0:3

251.00

0:2 1:2 0:2 1:2

101.00

2:0 4+ 2:0 4+

14.00

0:0 4+ 0:0 4+

31.00

0:2 4+ 0:2 4+

46.00

2:1 2:1 2:1 2:1

71.00

1:1 1:1 1:1 1:1

31.00

0:3 0:3 0:3 0:3

251.00

2:1 4+ 2:1 4+

18.00

1:1 2:1 1:1 2:1

31.00

0:3 4+ 0:3 4+

151.00

3:0 3:0 3:0 3:0

101.00

1:1 1:2 1:1 1:2

51.00

1:2 1:2 1:2 1:2

151.00

3:0 4+ 3:0 4+

31.00

1:1 4+ 1:1 4+

13.00

1:2 4+ 1:2 4+

31.00

Winning margin

Mainz 05 by 1 1 by 1

3.67

Draw X

3.50

Paderborn by 1 2 by 1

6.50

Mainz 05 by 2 1 by 2

5.00

Paderborn by 2 2 by 2

15.00

Mainz 05 total

Over 0.5 Over 0.5

1.12

Under 0.5 Under 0.5

5.50

Over 1.5 Over 1.5

1.65

Under 1.5 Under 1.5

2.15

Over 2.5 Over 2.5

3.00

Under 2.5 Under 2.5

1.36

Paderborn total

Over 0.5 Over 0.5

1.43

Under 0.5 Under 0.5

2.65

Over 1.5 Over 1.5

3.10

Under 1.5 Under 1.5

1.33

Over 2.5 Over 2.5

8.00

Under 2.5 Under 2.5

1.06

Exact goals

0 0

15.00

4 4

5.00

1 1

5.75

5+ 5+

4.75

2 2

3.75

Mainz 05 exact goals

0 0

6.00

1 1

3.14

2 2

3.33

3+ 3+

3.00

Paderborn exact goals

0 0

2.67

1 1

2.45

2 2

4.50

3+ 3+

9.50

Which team to score

Only Mainz 05 Only 1

3.00

Only Paderborn Only 2

9.00

Both teams Both teams

1.60

None None

15.00

Mainz 05 no bet

Draw X

1.70

Paderborn 2

2.05

Paderborn no bet

Mainz 05 1

1.36

Draw X

2.90

DC Halftime/ DC Fulltime

12/12 12/12

1.58

12/1X 12/1X

1.68

12/X2 12/X2

3.25

1X/12 1X/12

1.38

1X/1X 1X/1X

1.25

1X/X2 1X/X2

2.75

X2/12 X2/12

1.95

X2/1X X2/1X

2.05

X2/X2 X2/X2

2.08

1X2 Halftime/ DC Fulltime

1/1X 1/1X

2.08

1/12 1/12

2.22

1/X2 1/X2

13.00

X/1X X/1X

2.67

X/12 X/12

3.20

X/X2 X/X2

3.80

2/1X 2/1X

10.00

2/12 2/12

5.33

2/X2 2/X2

4.75

DC Halftime/ 1X2 Fulltime

1X/1 1X/1

1.62

1X/X 1X/X

4.33

1X/2 1X/2

8.50

12/1 12/1

2.12

12/X 12/X

8.50

12/2 12/2

6.00

X2/1 X2/1

3.80

X2/X X2/X

4.33

X2/2 X2/2

4.20

Odd/even

Odd Odd

1.94

Even Even

1.86

Mainz 05 odd/even

Odd Odd

1.90

Even Even

1.80

Paderborn odd/even

Odd Odd

2.05

Even Even

1.70

Mainz 05 to score

Yes Yes

1.12

No No

5.33

Paderborn to score

Yes Yes

1.43

No No

2.67

Multigoals

0-1 0-1

4.00

0-2 0-2

2.08

0-3 0-3

1.43

0-4 0-4

1.17

0-5 0-5

1.06

0-6 0-6

1.02

0-7 0-7

1-2 1-2

2.36

1-3 1-3

1.56

1-4 1-4

1.23

1-5 1-5

1.11

1-6 1-6

1.07

1-7 1-7

1.05

2-3 2-3

2.00

2-4 2-4

1.50

2-5 2-5

1.31

2-6 2-6

1.23

2-7 2-7

1.20

3-4 3-4

2.25

3-5 3-5

1.85

3-6 3-6

1.69

3-7 3-7

1.64

4+ 4+

2.50

4-5 4-5

3.10

4-6 4-6

2.71

4-7 4-7

2.55

5+ 5+

4.33

5-6 5-6

5.00

5-7 5-7

4.50

6+ 6+

8.50

6-7 6-7

9.50

7+ 7+

18.00

Mainz 05 multigoals

0-1 0-1

2.08

0-2 0-2

1.33

0-3 0-3

1.10

0-4 0-4

1.03

0-5 0-5

0-6 0-6

0-7 0-7

1-2 1-2

1.65

1-3 1-3

1.30

1-4 1-4

1.18

1-5 1-5

1.14

1-6 1-6

1.12

1-7 1-7

1.12

2-3 2-3

2.05

2-4 2-4

1.75

2-5 2-5

1.67

2-6 2-6

1.64

2-7 2-7

1.62

3-4 3-4

3.25

3-5 3-5

3.00

3-6 3-6

2.90

3-7 3-7

2.86

4+ 4+

5.75

4-5 4-5

6.50

4-6 4-6

6.00

4-7 4-7

6.00

5+ 5+

14.00

5-6 5-6

15.00

5-7 5-7

14.00

6+ 6+

31.00

6-7 6-7

31.00

7+ 7+

41.00

Paderborn multigoals

0-1 0-1

1.32

0-2 0-2

1.07

0-3 0-3

1.01

0-4 0-4

0-5 0-5

0-6 0-6

0-7 0-7

1-2 1-2

1.62

1-3 1-3

1.45

1-4 1-4

1.42

1-5 1-5

1.42

1-6 1-6

1.42

1-7 1-7

1.42

2-3 2-3

3.14

2-4 2-4

3.00

2-5 2-5

3.00

2-6 2-6

2.90

2-7 2-7

2.90

3-4 3-4

8.00

3-5 3-5

7.50

3-6 3-6

7.50

3-7 3-7

7.50

4+ 4+

21.00

4-5 4-5

21.00

4-6 4-6

21.00

4-7 4-7

21.00

5+ 5+

41.00

5-6 5-6

41.00

5-7 5-7

41.00

6+ 6+

41.00

6-7 6-7

41.00

7+ 7+

41.00

Both teams to score 2 or more goals

Yes Yes

4.50

No No

1.14

Both teams to score in both halves

Yes Yes

7.50

No No

1.03

More Bundesliga Odds

1x2

Total

Goals

Over

Under

29/08 • 13:30 |

Football • Germany • Bundesliga

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